Friday, January 10, 2020

Adding to the theories

The facts about the Ukraine International Airlines flight PS752 will be slow to emerge, but they will emerge. Commercial airline catastrophes are extremely rare, but we now seem to have two events (the other being MH17) pointing to the need for more diligence by Russia in who they provide with their anti-aircraft systems.

Anyway, the mystery of why this particular flight when there others in the air around the same time. Maybe completely random. Or maybe the Russian anti-aircraft system being used by the Iranians perceived that there was another hostile aircraft using the same vector as the Ukrainian plane to camouflage its presence. This was the tactic that led the Syrian Baathist military to shoot down a Russian plane when an Israeli fighter was using its approach as a screen. Now there are several problems with this theory, beginning with the fact that the Ukrainian plane was on an outbound, not inbound path (the latter being the more likely screened approach for an attack). But this is a situation where the weird has to be considered as possible. 

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