Monday, January 28, 2008

Sources close to George Bush


White House photo by Eric Draper

Tim Russert (immediately to Bush's right), man of the people (since he's Irish-American and from Buffalo, at least that's how he thinks of it) eagerly scribbles down the presidential utterances. Russert never asks any follow-up questions on his Sunday show (such as letting John McCain away with a ridiculous attack on Mitt Romney yesterday) so no doubt Bush finds him a polite guest.

Gone native

Andrew Sullivan* --

Nitch blogging at its best

It's a link to the photo art/gag site sleeveface.

But wait a minute. Nitch? A word not in the dictionary. So he must mean the American pronunciation of the word niche. But he grew up with the word with its Euro-spelling as well as pronunication, so how could he not know? It's almost as if someone else wrote that post.

UPDATE: At some point, he corrected the spelling and now uses the correct spelling on a later post.

*or at least as appearing under his name.

Infiltrated

Press release from Multi-National Force Iraq --

A Concerned Local Citizen leader was killed Jan. 26 in northern Baghdad when his car exploded from explosives planted inside the vehicle.

“This was a cowardly and desperate act executed by terrorists bent on derailing reconciliation efforts and progress in an area that has seen remarkable progress as a result of cooperation and resolve on the part of local Iraqi leaders and citizens,” said Col. Todd B. McCaffrey, commander 2nd Stryker Brigade Combat Team, 25th Infantry Division.


"Concerned Local Citizens" are the militias that the US has created to provide a parallel security force outside that of the Iraqi government. But the key point is that this "cowardly and desperate" act involved getting a bomb inside this dude's car. Who's in those militias, George?

When Osama was Christian

Terrorist atrocities. A war against all Arab governments. A particular preference for attacks and stunts involving airliners. Extracting money from Saudi Arabia. And actual support for Saddam Hussein, not just the imagined type.

Not Osama bin Laden. George Habash, probably the last remnant of the days when Palestinian extremism had little to do with holy war as it's now thought of.

But Habash died an old man, witnessing the defeat of just about every cause he cared about. Perhaps because there wasn't a George Bush to validate the worst assumptions of his followers and make him an iconic figure.

It seems that he was Marxist-Leninist to the end. It'll be interesting to see if Christopher Hitchens marks his death.

Dynasty a la carte

So Andrew Sullivan goes from ceaselessly attacking Hillary Clinton on the ground that it continues dynastic politics -- and then without batting an eyelid recalls feeling the power of JFK's charisma and approvingly noting JFK's daughter's (Caroline) and brother's (Ted) endorsement of his current hero Barack Obama.

In another post he manages to get in an approving reference to the Clinton-hating Mickey Kaus (despite their past feuds) and a catty Clinton-hating quote from the mysterious Weekly Standard blogger Richelieu. The quote from Richelieu cries out for a South Park-style "That's gay!" which is maybe what Sully is getting at in his response.

Saturday, January 26, 2008

Fashion mystery



What sort of scarf is Bono wearing? Hard to tell from the script on it.

AP Photo/Michel Euler

Not enough troops

The Wall Street Journal continues its occasional practice of giving op-ed space to Kimberly Kagan to assess the progress of the surge in Iraq. Her husband Fred designed it. Her main point is that the additional troop deployment has relatively high "overhead" because each brigade needs a substantial headquarters to handle all the extra functions -- escorting kids to kindergarten and the like -- that the brigades have been assigned in addition to their traditional fighting duties. Thus withdrawing any given number of total troops is difficult because you have to decide how to unwind these overhead components as well.

But the deeper message, not said in so many words, is that only suckers should have believed that the deployment was temporary, despite the fact that it sounded like that at time. Indeed, one gets the sense that she has been briefed by the generals in Iraq to lower expectations that even the planned reduction in troop levels can be achieved. What's the problem? Basically, all the surge is doing is shifting around troops from one trouble spot to another, leaving the previously pacified areas in a fragile state --

Coalition and Iraqi forces have not finished clearing Ninevah province, Salah ad-Din and parts of Babil. Major operations continue against al Qaeda remnants in Ninevah, Salah-ad-Din, Diyala, Kirkuk and Wasit provinces. Fighting between Iraqi Security Forces (aided by coalition special forces and our Georgian, Polish and British allies) and Mahdi Army militias continues in the south.

The withdrawal to 15 brigades already assumes that these operations will be successful. It provides no cushion for unexpected developments or unforeseen enemy responses. There is thus no military basis at all at the present time to recommend additional reductions in 2008.


In other words, the only way to ensure that troops can be withdrawn is to send even more troops -- a Surge Squared, if you will. John McCain's estimate of a century-long deployment is looking about right.

UPDATE 29 JANUARY: It's now a little clearer that Kagan's article was indeed a signal of no additional troop reductions beyond the 15 brigades. Did she know because she's involved in the decision or because she's being briefed more than Congress (or indeed some of Petreaus's superiors) are?

Friday, January 25, 2008

Foot. Gun.

Jonah Goldberg --

First I love that even White Nationalist trash recognize that Hitler was a socialist.

Heh Indeed.

UPDATE: Spelling from the intellectual: Keynians, Keynsian.

Loophole

Guidance to officers in the Police Service of Northern Ireland --

Catholics should not be called fenians, taigs, chucks or spongers, while Protestants should not be referred to as huns, black, prods or jaffas, the booklet says.

There is one exception to the use of fenian, but it is probably rarely used. "It may be perfectly acceptable to use it in an appropriate historical context, for example, if referring to the Fenian Brotherhood," it says.


For example, indeed: "He's one of those people whose ancestors might have been in the Fenian Brotherhood".

Tyranny of the tie


AP Photo/Gerald Herbert

Only Ron Paul shows any willingness to work outside the simple pattern and all red or all blue tie being worn by candidates and panelists this evening.

Presidential primary debates

At some point it might be in the interest of each candidate on the Democratic and Republican side to ask for the French presidential debate rule that there be no cut-away shots of one candidate while another candidate is speaking. Rudy is looking particularly bad in such shots in the Florida debate tonight. The pundits love it because it gives them something to write about, such as with the infamous (in pundit eyes) Al Gore expressions of exasperation while George W. Bush was speaking in 2000. For some reason, the pundits thought that it was Gore making a fool of himself. But anyway. The French rule is a good one. Let the debates be decided on what the person speaking says and does (McCain: "We lost the election because of the bridge to nowhere"), and not the inevitable sighs, grimaces and random twitches of the other candidates.

Thursday, January 24, 2008

Someone's not talking

French bank Société générale says that they told Bank of France president Christian Noyer on Sunday that they had huge losses due to a rogue trader and were dumping the assets before publicly announcing it. The US Federal Reserve says that it did not know on Monday night that this was going on when it decided to cut interest rates after overseas markets crashed that day. American markets were closed for MLK. News accounts seem to be ignoring this timeline.

Crash test dummies

Dick Cheney, perhaps feeling that he has some catching up to do having accounted for only 48 of the administration's 935 lies about Saddam Hussein's Iraq, was at the right-wing Heritage Foundation yesterday to argue in favour of the War on Terror in general and George Bush's right to engage in warrantless electronic snooping on Americans in particular. Using his standard "serious" monotone for which the pundits are suckers, this was among his arguments --

In addition, a small number of terrorists, high-value targets held overseas, have gone through a tougher interrogation program run by the CIA. These include Khalid Sheikh Mohammed, the mastermind of 9/11. The procedures of the CIA program are designed to be safe.

Think about the actual meaning of that last sentence. One only has to design something to be safe if there's a possibility that otherwise it could be fatal. So what are they doing that has to be designed to be safe?

He should try out for the team



Comedian Will Ferrell going to receive the "Joyce Award" for outstanding achievement in the field of excellence from the Lit & Hist at University College Dublin. In a rugby outfit complete with pulled up socks and slip-on shoes.

Among his quips --

"As I perused my leatherbound volumes of Ulysses, Finnegans Wake, Dubliners, Portrait of the Artist as a Young Man, standing in my mahogany library, a lot of feelings ran across my head, like, 'damn, I should have read these books'."

Photograph: Niall Carson/PA

Freedom to review

The Irish News is appealing the finding of libel against them over their review of the restaurant Goodfellas. The essence of their appeal --

Lord Lester QC insisted the review had been written in good faith and without malice. As he opened a hearing, the barrister claimed issues of great public importance dealing with the right to freedom of expression were at stake. "Although it was about a review by a food critic, it could as well have been a review written by a theatre or film critic." ... He told the court: "It [ the review] did not purport to be a factual report by a food scientist. It was a personal description by a food critic explaining why she formed a poor opinion of the restaurant based on her experience as a customer on the evening in question."

One little bit of information in the reporting of the appeal is that the original verdict had an element of a self-inflicted wound for the Irish News, as they were the ones that pushed for a trial.

Wednesday, January 23, 2008

Seemingly unrelated events

News item #1 --

European Commission proposals to radically cut greenhouse gas emissions and boost the use of renewable energy among member states raise "very serious economic and social issues for Ireland", the Government has said. The Cabinet Committee on Climate Change and Energy Security said today the climate change strategy, which seeks to cut emissions across the union by one fifth by 2020, must take into account the "national circumstances and competitiveness impacts".

News item #2 --

Minister for Foreign Affairs Dermot Ahern is expected to pay an official visit to the world's youngest nation, Timor Leste, next month.

The country, which was previously known as East Timor, won independence in 2002 after more than 400 years of occupation by Portugal and Indonesia. Timor Leste will receive five million euro in Irish Aid funding this year.


Leaving aside the environmental cost of getting Dermot Ahern and his hangers-on to East Timor, the actual cost will be pretty significant set against what is a small overall aid budget for that country. And this comes on the heels of junior Minister Michael Ahern (no relation to Dermot or Bertie) junketing for a week in New Zealand on the basis of Edmund Hillary's one-day funeral. Since he's already in the neighhourhood, by Southern Hemisphere standards, why doesn't he go and check on the East Timor program and report back to the foreign minister?

UPDATE 11 FEB: Given recent events in East Timor, one assumes that Dermot Ahern's visit will have to be postponed. It'll be interesting to see whether another bit of southern hemisphere/East Asian business magically appears on his itinerary.

FINAL UPDATE: Ahern's visit, scheduled for Feb 20-22, is "under review".

Owning the P-word



Actual name of Irish tour bus company. One wonders if that's what upset the vandals.

Tuesday, January 22, 2008

Truer than he knew



In the above Bloggingheads clip, Crooked Timber's Henry Farrell (paired with Daniel Drezner) explains why it's not necessary to have read Jonah Goldberg's Liberal Fascism to criticise it, with the high point being the line that since Jonah pretended to research the book, at most one is obligated to pretend to read it.

As he says, there's a similar tendency of the Lyndon LaRouche supporters to claim that the truth is revealed if only people would read his books, yet one knows that it's only paranoid rantings in there.

Such as

The anti-democratic bureaucratic managerial overclass that liberals seek to install at home and abroad is grotesquely elitist. The divinization of a Supreme Court that is allowed to sift through foreign laws to discover new meanings in our own constitution; the arrogance of the transnational elites at Davos and the Clinton Global initiative, the constant desire to outsource our sovereignty to the UN

Except that's not LaRouche. It's Goldberg defending his book from David Neiwert, in one of the most ADHD-afflicted screeds you'll ever see. But he's a serious intellectual whose editor is Saul Bellow's son. These collapsing financial markets don't know the half of what has happened to the USA.

Not Pro-live

Perhaps it's the pressure of business that made George Bush's usual wheeze of being mysteriously out of town when his pro-life base is in town infeasible. So no phone call to the Roe v Wade marchers from Camp David this year. Instead, a White House press release titled "President Bush Speaks to March for Life Rally Participants" -- which requires a moment's thought to realise that it's not him speaking to the March itself, but to a selected few from those who will march later in the day. The rest of them receive their pro-life message by tape. Maybe Bush uses the freed up time to think of new ways to bomb Iraq into democracy.

Into the void


White House photo by Shealah Craighead

One of US Federal Reserve chairman Ben Bernanke's breaks over the last few days was to lead a tour of a modern Turkish art exhibit at the Fed's HQ. Laura Bush was there too. Ben (with his back turned) seems inordinantly focused on the nothingness surrounded by purple/violet to the left. Maybe it provides a mental respite from the stock market gyrations.

They all do it

Andrew Sullivan's Clinton-hating is getting ever more preposterous. The Atlantic pays for this stuff? Here he is building on an item from the thinking man's Drudge Report i.e. the Politico --

The second is that Clinton now automatically uses the second person plural. It's not the Royal "we". It's an empirical "we":

"The facts are that he has said in the last week that he really liked the ideas of the Republicans over the last 10 to 15 years, and we can give you the exact quote etc etc [more 'we' usages]"

Yes, this "we" implies a team behind a candidacy.


A few things. "We" is the first person plural. Second, it's easy to search the transcript (which Sully never bothered doing, since he had his point) --

SUZANNE MALVEAUX, CNN: I'd like to follow-up with Senator Obama. It was just a few days ago that Senator Clinton asserted that she was the strongest candidate when it comes to fiscal responsibility.

She says that the new programs that she proposes she essentially can pay for. She says that you have failed in that regard in the tune of some $50 billion worth of new programs that you cannot account for.

How do you respond to that charge?

OBAMA: What she said wasn't true. We account for every single dollar that we propose.


The fact is that Obama, Clinton, and Edwards all mix Is and Wes, presumably depending on part on whether they wanted to indicate their campaign team, not just spouses, or themselves personally. Clinton derangement is also leading him to get his English history metaphors all mixed up, as he variously refers to a Clinton "Restoration" and Obama as the "Pretender". You'd think a self-styled Irish Tory could keep his Stuarts together.

Monday, January 21, 2008

Operation Monte Cassino

Here's the latest manifestation of the US military strategy in Iraq to keep politically-sensitive American casualties down while trying to make progress against an entrenched insurgency. It comes as a part of Operation Phantom Phoenix (which should be called Operation Together Forward VI: The Undiscovered Country). One component of the operation is taking place in Arab Jabour, which already has had 80,000 lbs of bombs dropped on it since been declared safe a few months ago. More air raids last night:

“The strikes that we conducted (Jan. 20) were focused on IEDs (improvised explosive devices) and caches that we have targeted, that will allow us to get our ground troops further into the zone,” said Col. Terry Ferrell, 2nd BCT, 3rd Inf. Div. commander. “These targets, the IEDs specifically, are designed as part of the defensive belt to prevent our Forces from entering into areas that we have not been before.”

So they're using F-18s and B-1s to bomb anything that looks like a makeshift bomb -- which could include piles of dirt. How this fits with the hearts and minds strategy of building support among the Iraqi population is not explained. Or, how, if IEDs have so multiplied that they have to be bombed out from the air, the US will ever be able to get out of Iraq.

Faraway strip of which we know nothing


AFP/Said Khatib

Amid several candidates for the honour, the most insidious aspect of George Bush's Middle East visit was his clear nod to Israel -- and the Palestinian Authority in the West Bank -- that he was dumping the Gaza strip overboard as an object of his peace efforts:

PRESIDENT BUSH: First of all, Gaza is a tough situation. I don't know whether you can solve it in a year, or not ... There is a competing vision taking place in Gaza. And in my judgment, Hamas, which I felt ran on a campaign of, we're going to improve your lives through better education and better health, have delivered nothing but misery ... And there's going to be -- there will be no better difference, a clear difference, than the vision of Hamas in Gaza and the vision of the President and the Prime Minister and his team based here in Ramallah. And to me, that's how you solve the issue in the long-term. And the definition of long-term, I don't know what it means. I'm not a timetable person -- actually, I am on a timetable -- got 12 months. (Laughter.) ...

PRESIDENT ABBAS: (As translated.) Gaza it is considered a coup by us, we consider it a coup d'etat what happened in Gaza. Now -- we consider it a coup d'etat. (Laughter.) And we deal with Gaza at two levels. The first is that we deal with the people as part of us and we take full responsibility that is necessary towards our people. We spend in Gaza 58 percent of our budget. This is not to -- it is our duty towards our people that we provide them with all the need.


Thus Israel and the West Bank authorities were told to keep working on their own track and let Gaza sort itself out, whatever that means.

Among the things it means is the current fuel blockade, which imposes a punishment on civilians. Israel has a two part strategy of noting the problems with rocket fire while claiming that it hasn't cut off its direct electricity supplies to the strip, which is true. But the directly supplied electricity is irrelevant to many in Gaza because they are not connected to the electricity network (which in some cases has been damaged by air raids). If you're relying on your own water pump or diesel generator, the state of power lines to which you're not connected is irrelevant.

Of course Israel's strategy shouldn't be a surprise and they may yet work out some kind of compromise to let monitored fuel supplies back in. The bigger disgraces are Bush's attempt to peddle himself as someone who cares about the Palestinian people -- and the pathetic crew thereof in Ramallah who in effect signed off on this stunt knowing full well what it would mean for Gaza.

UPDATE: Here's a good example from The Corner of the propagation of the Israeli spin which never mentions the key issue of the electricity grid. Meanwhile, Israel has allowed a slight relaxation of the blockade.

Sunday, January 20, 2008

Islamo-primaries


With all the controversy about South Carolina's use of the confederate battle flag on state grounds, shouldn't the rightwingers be more worked up about the classic Islamic imagery that was lurking behind every candidate last night, courtesy of the state's official flag?

Socialist International


It's a little bit odd that Dominique Strauss-Kahn, Managing Director of the International Monetary Fund, and so presumably an apolitical bureaucrat, can attend a forum for the renovation of the French Socialist Party.

photo: AFP/Florian Rey

Friday, January 18, 2008

Echo

George Bush today specified one of his principles for the economic stimulus package designed to help his post-bubble economy is that the size "should be about 1 percent of GDP". That seemingly harmless little phrase has a history in the Bush administration. For it was the guess as to the full cost of the Iraq war, as of 2002, that got Bush's then economic adviser, Larry Lindsey, hustled out of his job.

Even though it's now far too low, it was much too high for a White House that was pushing the idea of a low cost war, with Iraq's reconstruction to be paid for out of oil money. Perhaps Bush doesn't remember the apoplexy that the phrase caused all those years ago. Perhaps we better hope that he doesn't embrace the number as prescribing that another nice little war might be just what the economy needs.

Thursday, January 17, 2008

All fascism all the time


bonus link to Jonah's appearance on The Daily Show

In today's Liberal Fascism moment, Jonah Goldberg says --

For many socialists and progressives, socialism was racism and racism was socialism. Nazism was socialism for a race. The Nazi view was uglier and more extreme than anyone else's, but it was not philosophically so distinct from the views of many progressives in America and socialists in Britain ... An excerpt from the book:

[quote] Just as socialist economics was a specialization within the larger Progressive avocation, eugenics was a closely related specialty. Eugenic arguments and economic arguments tracked each other, complemented each other, and, at times, melted into each other.

Sidney Webb, the father of Fabian socialism and still among the most revered British intellectuals, laid it out fairly clearly. “No consistent eugenicist,” he explained, “can be a ‘Laissez Faire’ individualist [that is, a conservative] unless he throws up the game in despair. He must interfere, interfere, interfere!” The fact that the “wrong” people were outbreeding the “right” ones would put Britain on the path of “national deterioration” or, “as an alternative,” result “in this country gradually falling to the Irish and the Jews.” [end quote]


Using the miracle of Google, one comes across this post by Duncan Money explaining the context for the Webb quote: widespread concerns about Irish Catholic immigrants in Britain. And yes, such sentiments did merge with "theories" of prominent statisticians of the day (remember the "proof" that we would all end up the same height?) to produce some weird pronouncements.

But -- what do we expect given the circumstances? All of today's concerns about immigrants depressing wages and integration of a different religion magnified many-fold, and all in the context of what was then the UK's "Irish Question". Yet the UK never got to the point of putting all Irish people in concentration camps.

So Goldberg's classification is that any left-wing figure of the day who had concerns about immigration was a fascist, and different only in degree and not type from the Nazis. But because right-wing anti-immigrants aren't socialist, they're not fascist. Got it?

Wednesday, January 16, 2008

Dream a work in progress

Only George Bush could make one of his boilerplate proclamations irritating. The proclamation of the King Holiday --

Our Nation has made progress toward realizing Dr. King's dream, yet the work to achieve liberty and justice for all is never-ending. In July of 2006, I was honored to sign the "Fannie Lou Hamer, Rosa Parks, and Coretta Scott King Voting Rights Act Reauthorization and Amendments Act of 2006," to renew the Voting Rights Act of 1965 and reaffirm our commitment to securing the voting rights of all Americans.

This would be the dude in office due to uncounted votes in Florida in 2000 and/or Supreme Court intervention to complain about the lack of a uniform standard for counting votes in Florida in 2000 but not about any other aspect of America's patchwork voting system. And this would be the dude whose party yells about "voter fraud" any time an election goes against them, and indeed who yelled themselves into the scandal about the fired US Attorneys, since the fired Attorneys were the ones insufficiently zealous about chasing down those voter fraudsters.

But he'll have his best solemn face on for the King ceremonies. At least Dr King gets more than the phone-in appearance that he'll be doing the next day for the Roe v Wade observance, in keeping with his tradition of being out of town when the pro-lifers are in town.

Did you know that the NHS is fascist?

Jonah Goldberg, explaining some of the material in Liberal Fascism --

nationalism and socialism are almost always synonymous terms. Hugo Chavez is a nationalist who is nationalizing his country's industry. Or you could say he's a socialist who is socializing his country's industry. The two words are interchangeable: socialized medicine is nationalized medicine.

So socializing = nationalizing. National Socialism. Nazi. Geddit?

More seriously, Goldberg still won't explain why he has classified Mussolini as being on the left when Mussolini did such a good job of preserving Italy's institutions -- the monarchy and the Church -- under his rule.

Nations and leaders



Egypt is clearly in the doghouse for the White House on Bush's now concluded Middle East trip, as evidenced by President Mubarak only being given a brief stopover visit in the resort town of Sharm al-Sheikh, as opposed to the cavorting with the Gulf elites that had taken place earlier in the trip. This is what happens when, like Egypt, you're a non-oil exporter that locks up bloggers, as opposed to say, Saudi Arabia, an oil exporter that locks up bloggers.

Anyway, for all its faults, there is a little interesting thing about Egypt in the photograph. Note that the images come from Egypt's classical (and pre-Islamic) period. One fact that was lost in the furore over the Danish cartoons is that, strictly speaking, Islamic thinking has concerns about the making of any human image, not just that of Muhammad. Because there is a risk of idolatry: the images can become a distraction from God. Go into a mosque and look for images of any person -- you won't find one.

The risk of idolatry is particularly severe when one person other than God is being elevated above all others. Now take a look at the reception photographs from nearly every Arab Bush stop during his visit. Ramallah. Kuwait. UAE. Saudi Arabia. There's always a corporeal leader above the dignitaries. The only exceptions are Bahrain and Egypt (where the image is classical and not political) -- the two countries given the least time on the Bush trip.

Not that Bush will put much thought into it, but among the many reasons for the Muslim world's alienation with him is the effort that the US allocates to leaders as opposed to people, all of whom are equally worthy. The countries that have been around long enough to have more secure identities have less time for leadership cults -- and so are less interesting to the American version thereof.